Currently, an average of 1.9 thousand people die a day, which, according to Fiocross analysis, could soon reach the level of 2.2 thousand.
Similar information was found in the latest edition of the bulletin prepared by the Govit-19 laboratory, showing an increase in the average number of victims during the last epidemic week – from May 16 to 22: 0.7 percent per day, with an average of 62,000 new daily records.
“In fact, the increase in cases is usually followed by an increase in the number of deaths from Covit-19 after about two weeks,” Fiocruz said.
If this trend continues, it will “increase the values of about 2,200 deaths per day (from 2,000 to 2,400, taking into account the margin of error of the model) over the next seven days”, he said.
In all, more than 80 percent of ICU beds are in 18 states.
Northeast, as the document points out, is the most concerned area. In nine states, there are five ICUs that are 90 percent filled.
Between May 17 and 24, Fiocruz recorded that the occupation rates of ICU beds for adults affected by the integrated health system increased or were at an all-time high in almost all regional sections of the country.
The decline of these occupations, which had been recorded for a few weeks until May 10, was interrupted.
As the number of cases increases, the dynamics usually increase the number of deaths after a few weeks. This is a major concern, “said Daniel Villa, co-ordinator of the Science Computer Program at Fiocross.
The report estimates that without vaccinating at least 70 percent of the population, Brazil will not control the health catastrophe.
The research also warned of a ‘renaissance of the epidemic’ as the effects of the disease would rise among younger groups as new strains of the virus became circulating in the South American company.
The study concluded that increased exposure to this age group was associated with an increased risk of work and traffic conditions.
Similarly, by easing restrictions in March, the states are set to resume economic and leisure activities.
“This environment will create new pressures on the entire health system,” the researchers noted.
oda / ocs